Colt .45’s – Hardball Retro

1964 Colt .45’s – Hardball Retrospective Rosters – “Original” Win Shares Leaders

Derek Bain — Sat, 31 Oct 2020 13:43:38 +0000

1964	Rusty Staub	5.2
1964	Jerry Grote	2.3
1964	Dave Giusti	1.8
1964	John Bateman	1.7
1964	Sonny Jackson	1.2
1964	Larry Dierker	0.5
1964	Joe L. Morgan	0.4
1964	Danny Coombs	0.3
1964	Dave Adlesh	0.1
1964	Walt Williams	0.0

Correctly answered by Scott Mitchell, Kyle Newman, Matthew Bloss, Mark Zimmerer, Brian Bohem, Doug Snyder Sr., Michael McConchie, Michael Danes, Erin Underwood, Neil Bush, Christopher Joseph Brett, Tom Siegler, Dave Shaw, Jon Winkler, Rod Humphrey, Paul Ahern, Stephen Burstein and John Doble

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1963 Colt .45’s – Hardball Retrospective Rosters – “Original” Win Shares Leaders

Derek Bain — Wed, 14 Oct 2020 13:11:50 +0000

1963	Rusty Staub	12.3
1963	John Bateman	5.8
1963	Ernie Fazio	2.9
1963	Joe L. Morgan	1.1
1963	John Paciorek	1.1
1963	Brock Davis	0.3
1963	Glenn Vaughan	0.3
1963	Jerry Grote	0.1
1963	Sonny Jackson	0.1
1963	Ivan Murrell	0.0

Correctly answered by Scott Mitchell, Kyle Newman, Matthew Bloss, Brian Bohem, Michael McConchie, Michael Danes, Erin Underwood, David Schreiter, Neil Bush, Bryan Swank, Tom Siegler, Dave Shaw, Jon Winkler and Rod Humphrey

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Colt .45’s / Astros – Other Acquisitions (1950-2018) – Win Shares Leaders

Derek Bain — Sun, 23 Feb 2020 11:47:26 +0000

Year	Player	WS
1975	Jose Cruz	272.1
1963	Jimmy Wynn	233.8
1975	Joe Niekro	133.1
1962	Bob Aspromonte	85.2
1962	Turk Farrell	59.5
2014	Collin McHugh	46.8
1962	Al Spangler	43.8
1967	Jim Ray	38.9
1962	Ken Johnson	36.4
1965	Norm Miller	32.4

Correctly answered by Matthew Bloss, Michael Danes, Jon Winkler, Brian Bohem, Tom Siegler, Michael McConchie, Erin Underwood, Neil Bush, Rich Gordon and Kyle Newman

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Colt .45’s / Astros Amateur Free Agent Acquisitions (1950-2018) – Win Shares Leaders

Derek Bain — Fri, 24 Jan 2020 13:26:28 +0000

Year	Player	WS
1968	Cesar Cedeno	253.4
1965	Bob Watson	191.2
2007	Jose Altuve	188.6
1973	Terry Puhl	179.3
1963	Joe L. Morgan	153.6
1965	Doug Rader	135.7
1964	Larry Dierker	134.5
1964	Don Wilson	109.5
1961	Rusty Staub	104.8
1991	Richard Hidalgo	97.8

Correctly answered by Rod Humphrey, Michael Danes, Jon Winkler, Brian Bohem, Michael McConchie and Doug Snyder Sr.

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Colt .45’s / Astros Trade Acquisitions (1950-2018) – Win Shares Leaders

Derek Bain — Mon, 25 Nov 2019 13:38:22 +0000

Year	Player	WS
1990	Jeff Bagwell	381.1
1982	Kevin Bass	106.2
1983	Mike Scott	102.1
1979	Craig Reynolds	91.1
1975	Enos Cabell	83.8
1981	Phil Garner	80.2
1976	Art Howe	79.4
1968	Denis Menke	78.6
1981	Bob Knepper	76.5
1995	Derek Bell	73

Correctly answered by Rod Humphrey, Matthew Bloss, Michael Danes, Paul Ivice, Jon Winkler, Brian Bohem, Tom Siegler, Michael McConchie, Erin Underwood, Neil Bush, Doug Snyder Sr., Tom Krewson, Bryan Hartman, Tim Rounds, Jan Insinga, David J. Marti and Kyle Newman

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Colt .45’s / Astros Amateur Draft Round 2-10 Win Shares Leaders

Derek Bain — Thu, 26 Sep 2019 12:43:52 +0000

Round	Name	WS
6	Bill D. Doran	165.6
3	Ken Caminiti	105.8
3	Shane Reynolds	93.2
2	Hunter Pence	90.2
9	Morgan Ensberg	75.1
8	Dave S. Smith	72.8
7	Dallas Keuchel	69.4
4	Luis E. Gonzalez	61.8
4	Greg Gross	50.3
5	Cliff Johnson	44.6

Correctly answered by Paul Ivice, Jon Winkler, Michael McConchie and Timothy Lowery

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Expansion Era Minor League All-Star Rosters – Colt .45’s / Astros

Derek Bain — Thu, 11 Jul 2019 20:01:51 +0000

Founded on my research for the “Minors vs Majors” chapter in my book, “Hardball Retroactive” paired with complementary articles “Minors vs. Majors: The Top Minor League Batters in the Expansion Era” and “Minors vs. Majors: The Top Minor League Pitchers in the Expansion Era“, the ensuing series will reveal the Minor League All-Star rosters for every MLB franchise based primarily on single-season statistics in Runs Created / 140 Games (batters) and Fielding Independent Pitching (pitchers).

Selection Criteria

individual seasons in the Expansion Era (1961 – 2017)
levels A through AAA
ages 24 or younger (A and A+)
age 25 seasons (AA and AAA)
age 26 seasons (AAA)

Terminology

RC – Runs Created – using the basic formula devised by Bill James:

((H + BB) * TB) / (AB + BB)

Note: I utilized the basic formula as opposed to the Technical Version due to

incomplete GIDP and IBB data.

RC/140 – Runs Created per 140 Games as Minor League ballplayers

RC / (G / 140)

FIP – Fielding Independent Pitching – “Fielding Independent Pitching converts a pitcher’s three true outcomes into an earned run average-like number. The formula is (13*HR+3*(HBP+BB)-2*K)/IP, plus a constant (usually around 3.2) to put it on the same scale as earned run average.

FIP is a component ERA inspired by the work of Voros McCracken on defense-independent pitching statistics, but has become more widely used because of the ease of computation – it requires only four easily-found box score stats, uses only basic arithmetic operations and has four easily-memorized constants. It was conceived of by both Tom Tango and Clay Dreslough, the latter of who called it Defense-Independent Component ERA.” (definition courtesy of Baseball Prospectus Glossary).

((13*HR+3*(HBP+BB)-2*K)/IP)+3.2)

Assessment

The Houston Colt .45’s / Astros

Jose Altuve compiled the highest RC/140 among qualifiers for the Houston franchise when he batted at a .389 clip and slugged .591 over a half-season with Lancaster (A+) and Corpus Christi (AA) in 2011. The 2017 AL MVP, six-time All-Star second baseman and three-time batting champion led the Junior Circuit with 200+ base knocks in 4 straight seasons (2014-17). A.J. Reed clobbered 34 blasts, drove in 127 baserunners and registered 113 tallies while hitting .340 and slugging .612 across two minor league stops in 2015. Jason Lane swatted 26 big-flies and 34 two-base knocks with the ‘Stros in his first full big-league campaign (2005), four years after slashing .316/.407/.608 against Texas League pitching. Alex Bregman (#1, 2015) breezed through the upper minors as he batted .306 and slugged .580 SLG prior to making his Major League debut in July 2016. “A-Breg” topped the century mark in runs and RBI, led the circuit with 51 doubles and finished fifth in the 2018 AL MVP race. Morgan Ensberg clouted 23 four-baggers and recorded a .310 BA for the New Orleans Zephyrs (AAA) in 2001. He subsequently established career-highs in home runs (36), RBI (101) and SLG (.557) to merit his lone All-Star invitation in ’05. Danny Heep totaled 13 big-league seasons as a pinch-hitter and backup outfielder for 5 organizations after tearing up the Pacific Coast League in 1980 with a .343 BA and a .580 SLG. Four-time All-Star outfielder Hunter Pence mashed 25 taters for the ‘Stros in three successive seasons (2008-2010). “Captain Underpants” slammed 31 round-trippers and supplied a .327 BA as a member of the Lexington Legends (A) and the Salem Avalanche (A+) in 2005. George Springer (#1, 2011) pummeled opposition hurlers in the Texas and Pacific Coast Leagues throughout the 2013 season, crushing 37 circuit clouts and swiping 45 bags while slugging .600. Tallying 100+ runs in three straight years (2016-18), the 3-time All-Star outfielder blasted a career-high 34 homers in 2017.

Roy Oswalt triumphed in 15 of 22 decisions and fashioned an ERA of 2.21 as he split the 2000 campaign between Kissimmee (A+) and Round Rock (AA). The “Wizard of Os” placed runner-up in the 2001 NL Rookie of the Year balloting and finished among the top 5 vote-getters in the NL Cy Young voting five times in six years (2001-06). Don Wilson compiled 104 wins along with a 3.15 ERA in his 9 seasons with the Astros. In his age-20 season for Cocoa (A), Wilson registered 10 victories with a 1.44 ERA and a 0.983 WHIP. Joe Sambito pitched almost exclusively in relief through 11 MLB seasons after tallying 11 wins and completing 12 of 23 starts for Cedar Rapids (A) in ’74.

Starting Lineup	Age	Year	Teams	Levels	POS	RC140	BA	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Jose Altuve	21	2011	LNR,CPC	A+,AA	2B	146.3	0.389	10	59	0.426	0.591
Ed Moxey	22	1965	SBY,DHM	A	LF	138.7	0.336	27	90	0.435	0.633
A.J. Reed*	22	2015	LNR,CPC	A+,AA	1B	143.8	0.340	34	127	0.432	0.612
Jason Lane	24	2001	RRK	AA	RF	126.4	0.316	38	124	0.407	0.608
Koby Clemens	22	2009	LNR,CPC	A+,AA	C	130.4	0.341	22	123	0.415	0.620
Keith Ginter	24	2000	RRK	AA	DH	130.3	0.333	26	92	0.457	0.580
Ty Gainey*	25	1986	TUC	AAA	CF	130.0	0.351	17	63	0.437	0.616
Alex Bregman	22	2016	CPC,FRE	AA,AAA	SS	126.2	0.306	20	61	0.406	0.580
Morgan Ensberg	25	2001	NOR	AAA	3B	119.2	0.310	23	61	0.397	0.592
Bench	Age	Year	Teams	Levels	POS	RC140	BA	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Danny Heep*	22	1980	TUC	AAA	1B	127.3	0.343	17	69	0.398	0.580
Derek Fisher*	23	2017	FRE	AAA	OF	127.0	0.318	21	66	0.384	0.583
Rich Johnson	23	1986	AVL,OSC	A	1B	126.8	0.341	29	112	0.424	0.581
Hunter Pence	22	2005	LEX,SAL	A,A+	CF	125.7	0.327	31	90	0.400	0.598
Brian L. Hunter	23	1994	TUC	AAA	OF	125.6	0.372	10	51	0.432	0.520
Mitch Meluskey#	24	1998	NOR	AAA	C	125.3	0.353	17	71	0.465	0.584
George Springer	23	2013	CPC,OKC	AA,AAA	CF	123.4	0.303	37	108	0.411	0.600
Brett Phillips*	21	2015	LNR,CPC	A+,AA	CF	122.7	0.320	16	71	0.377	0.548
Danny Walton	21	1969	OKC	AAA	OF	121.1	0.332	25	119	0.405	0.587
Aaron McNeal	21	1999	BTC	A	1B	118.6	0.310	38	131	0.358	0.588
James Mouton	24	1993	TUC	AAA	2B	118.0	0.315	16	92	0.397	0.524
Randy Braun*	22	1982	AVL	A	1B	116.9	0.296	23	72	0.417	0.566
Ed Whited	23	1987	AVL	A	3B	115.8	0.323	28	126	0.407	0.598
Drew Sutton#	25	2008	CPC	AA	2B	115.8	0.317	20	69	0.408	0.523
Gary Rajsich*	25	1980	TUC	AAA	OF	115.7	0.321	21	99	0.435	0.575

Starters	Age	Year	Teams	Levels	FIP	WLSV	ERA	WHIP	BB9	SO9
Roy Oswalt	22	2000	RRK,KIS	AA,A+	2.10	15-7	2.20	1.091	1.7	9.7
Forrest Whitley	19	2017	DAV,BUI,CPC	A,A+,AA	2.07	5-4	2.83	1.216	3.3	14.0
Don Wilson	20	1965	COC	A	2.23	10-8	1.44	0.983	2.3	8.4
Kirk Saarloos	23	2002	RRK,NOR	AA,AAA	2.39	12-1	1.54	0.838	2.1	9.2
Troy Patton*	19	2005	LEX,SAL	A,A+	2.41	6-6	2.19	1.015	2.1	10.0
Relievers	Age	Year	Teams	Levels	FIP	WLSV	ERA	WHIP	BB9	SO9
Jason Green	25	2000	RRK,NOR	AA,AAA	1.70	16	2.00	1.167	2.5	11.0
Mike Burns	25	2004	RRK	AA	1.73	9	1.68	0.973	1.7	10.5
Jesse Carlson*	22	2003	LEX	A	1.81	13	1.57	0.840	2.3	12.0
Juan Campos	22	2002	BTC,LEX	A	1.95	9	2.08	0.954	1.2	9.4
Oscar Zamora	24	1969	COC,PNS	A	1.95	14	1.15	0.838	1.8	8.8
Bench	Age	Year	Teams	Levels	FIP	WLSV	ERA	WHIP	BB9	SO9
Jordan Lyles	18	2009	LEX	A	2.42	7-11	3.25	1.193	2.4	10.4
Joe Sambito*	22	1974	CDR	A	2.44	11-8	3.00	1.167	2.8	10.5
Blaise Ilsley*	22	1986	AVL,OSC	A	2.46	20-6	1.88	0.887	1.8	9.6
Doug Sessions	22	1999	KIS,BTC	A+,A	2.01	18	1.70	0.962	2.3	11.3
Sammy Gervacio	22	2007	SAL,CPC	A+,AA	2.06	18	2.31	1.064	3.0	12.0
Wally Trice*	24	1991	BUR,JAC	A,AA	2.10	19	2.08	0.912	1.8	10.4

Honorable Mention

Lance Berkman (#1, 1997) merited 6 All-Star nominations and placed third in the NL MVP balloting twice in 15 MLB seasons including a dozen with the ‘Stros. “Big Puma” delivered 37 doubles, 33 dingers, 110 ribbies, 101 runs and 102 bases on balls annually over an eight-year span (2001-08). One year prior to ascending to the Majors, Berkman mirrored his future output with 38 two-baggers, 30 blasts and 102 RBI as a member of the Jackson Generals (AA) and the New Orleans Zephyrs (AAA). Johnny Ray blistered PCL pitching for a .349 BA along with 50 two-base hits and 111 tallies in ’81. Shipped to the Bucs in a deal for Phil Garner in August 1981, the switch-hitting second-sacker placed runner-up in the 1982 NL Rookie of the Year race and later led the Senior Circuit with 38 doubles in back-to-back campaigns (1983-84). Cliff Johnson (.302/33/117) walloped 20+ bombs four times through his 15-year big-league career subsequent to scalding the baseball as a member of the Denver Bears (AAA) in ’73. Following his release by Houston in March 2014, J.D. Martinez supplied a .307 BA with 32 doubles, 34 jacks and 96 RBI per year. “Flaco” jumped to the Majors in July 2011 after slashing .338/.414/.546 for the Corpus Christi Hooks (AA). Joe L. Morgan coaxed 105 walks, pilfered 47 bases, scored 113 runs and hit .323 with 42 doubles as a 20-year-old playing for the San Antonio Missions (AA) in ’64. “The Little General” finished second in the 1965 NL Rookie of the Year race, warranted 10 invites to the Mid-Summer Classic and notched back-to-back NL MVP Awards (1975-76). Shane Reynolds fashioned a 3.66 ERA and averaged 200 innings annually over a six-year span (1994-99) which mimicked his results for the Tucson Toros (AAA) in ’93.

Batters	Age	Year	Teams	Levels	POS	RC140	BA	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Lance Berkman#	22	1998	JAC,NOR	AA,AAA	OF	115.4	0.302	30	102	0.422	0.566
Johnny Ray#	24	1981	TUC	AAA	2B	114.9	0.349	5	83	0.397	0.510
Cliff Johnson	25	1973	DEN	AAA	1B	114.8	0.302	33	117	0.398	0.582
Jacob Nottingham	20	2015	DAV,LNR	A,A+	C	114.4	0.326	14	60	0.383	0.558
J.D. Martinez	23	2011	CPC	AA	LF	114.2	0.338	13	72	0.414	0.546
Chuck Harrison	23	1964	SAN	AA	1B	114.2	0.298	40	119	0.379	0.601
Jon Gaston*	22	2009	LNR	A+	LF	114.0	0.278	35	100	0.367	0.598
Kody Hinze	23	2011	LNR,CPC	A+,AA	1B	113.8	0.306	29	98	0.420	0.541
Jon Kemmer*	24	2015	CPC	AA	RF	112.8	0.327	18	65	0.414	0.574
Joe Morgan*	20	1964	SAN	AA	2B	112.0	0.323	12	90	0.440	0.512

Pitchers	Age	Year	Teams	Levels	FIP	WLSV	ERA	WHIP	BB9	SO9
Donne Wall	23	1991	BUR,OSC	A,A+	2.53	13-8	2.05	0.870	1.6	8.0
Aaron West	23	2013	LNR	A+	2.55	10-8	5.24	1.396	1.4	9.3
Shane Reynolds	25	1993	TUC	AAA	2.57	10-6	3.62	1.208	1.4	6.9
Kevin Hill	24	2017	BUI,DAV,CPC	A+,A,AA	2.16	5	1.96	0.997	2.9	9.5
Jesse Hickman	26	1965	OKC	AAA	2.23	3-2	2.42	1.164	4.0	12.4
Jim Dougherty	23	1991	AVL	A	2.33	28	1.52	1.060	2.7	8.5

References and Resources

Baseball-Reference

Bill James Baseball Abstract

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

About the Author

I am a New Jersey native with a passion for baseball, statistics, computers and video games who enjoys spending quality time with his family.

“Hardball Retroactive”, published in June 2018, is available in paperback and digital (Kindle) format at Amazon.com along with digital eBook format at GooglePlay.com.

“Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

“Hardball Retrospective – Addendum 2014 to 2016” supplements my research for Hardball Retrospective, providing retroactive standings based on Wins Above Replacement (WAR) and Win Shares (WS) for each “original” team over the past three seasons (2014-2016). Team totals from 2010 – 2013 are included for reference purposes. “Addendum” is available in paperback and digital formats through Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace.

Colt .45’s / Astros Amateur Draft First Round WAR Leaders

Derek Bain — Tue, 28 May 2019 23:30:15 +0000

Name	gWAR	WS
Lance Berkman	48.3	273.5
Craig Biggio	25.9	172.5
Glenn Davis	22.5	127.5
J. R. Richard	22.5	105.8
George Springer	20.7	94.8
Billy Wagner	20.4	94.8
Carlos Correa	18.3	81.3
Alex Bregman	15.1	66.9
Brad Lidge	8.9	58.7
Jason Castro	8.2	58.8

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Colt .45’s / Astros Minor League Franchise Winning Percentage Trailers (1963-2017)

Derek Bain — Sun, 28 Apr 2019 23:30:59 +0000

Colt .45’s / Astros (Minor Leaguers) WPCT
2008 Astros 0.387
2011 Astros 0.408
2009 Astros 0.426
1969 Astros 0.435
2010 Astros 0.435
2007 Astros 0.440
1977 Astros 0.442
1972 Astros 0.447
1981 Astros 0.453
1989 Astros 0.454

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Astros Minor League Franchise Winning Percentage Leaders (1963-2017)

Derek Bain — Wed, 27 Mar 2019 23:30:05 +0000

Colt .45’s / Astros (Minor Leaguers) WPCT
2001 Astros 0.598
1980 Astros 0.583
2013 Astros 0.569
2006 Astros 0.556
2015 Astros 0.553
1987 Astros 0.549
1963 Colt .45’s 0.539
2002 Astros 0.535
1965 Astros 0.533
2004 Astros 0.533

Correctly answered by Michael Danes

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